Prediction Markets — Page 4
Page 4 of the Prediction Markets archive on FinancialMarkets.com.
Latest articles
- Traders Lower Odds of an October End to Hormuz Blockade
- Prediction Markets Put Bolsonaro’s Runoff Odds Near 85%
- Ohio Orders 10 Platforms to Halt Sports Contracts by October 16
- Kalshi October Rate-Hike Odds Retreat as Treasury Yields Ease
- Bolsonaro Runoff Odds Hold Near 84% as Center-Right Endorsements Arrive
- Bank of America Says DraftKings Wins on Prediction Markets Either Way. States Are Pushing to Make Sure It Doesn't Get the Chance.
- Traders Give Flávio Bolsonaro About an 83% Chance of Winning Brazil's Presidency
- Kalshi's October Rate-Hike Contract Jumped From 18 Cents to 22 in Six Minutes, More Than an Hour After the Data That Should Have Moved It
- Kalshi Asks the Ninth Circuit to Wait for the CFTC
- Yemen's War Widens, and the Blockade Bet Barely Moves
- Traders Had Lula Winning Brazil's First Round. Then the Count Started.
- Prediction Markets Head Into October Waiting on the CFTC and the Supreme Court
- Kalshi's October Rate-Hike Contract Fell From 28 Cents to 13 in Under Two Minutes After the Jobs Report. By Afternoon It Was Back to 19.
- Parlays Drove Four-Fifths of a $28 Billion Surge in Sports Prediction Trading
- Kalshi, Polymarket and CME Converge: The Market Has Moved the Next Fed Hike to December
- Polymarket Gave Anthropic a 60% Chance of Listing by Nov. 30. The Company Is Now Targeting a Mid-November Launch.
- Kalshi's October Rate-Hike Contract Fell From 38 Cents to 23 Cents in One Session. It Ended the Afternoon at 27.
- CFTC Event-Contract Rules Enter White House Review
- Fed Hike Bets Ease as Long-Term Yields Climb
- Kalshi Nears $40B Round Ahead of Possible IPO
- Kalshi Is Ending Its Volume Rebates Almost a Year Early. September Is Already Its Biggest Month on Record.
- Two CFTC Rules on What Counts as a Swap Are Under White House Review. One Would Exclude Casino-Style Products.
- Kalshi Traders Put a 39% Chance on an October Rate Increase After the Inflation Data. Futures Priced About 35%.
- Kansas Senate Poll and Prediction Markets Point in Different Directions