Prediction Markets
Prediction market coverage from FinancialMarkets.com.
Latest articles
- The Fed Gets the Vote | The Ten-Year Holds Five | Oil Sets the Terms | The Meeting After the Hike
- Prediction Markets Put the Fed Hike at 86 Cents Hours Before the Decision
- Kalshi Lost in Three Federal Courts in Two Days, and Two Cert Petitions Are Now Before the Supreme Court
- CLARITY Failed | Oil Broke $105 | The Ten-Year Held Five | The Fed Gets the Next Vote
- A Court Ruling Could Reshape How Prediction Markets Are Regulated
- The Ten-Year Breaks Five | Oil Trades With Bonds | AI Keeps Its Brake | The Fed Meets a Costlier Tape
- Prediction Markets Enter Their Biggest Season With New Competitors and a Regulator Watching
- AI Slows the Tape | WTI Holds Above $101 | The Ten-Year Touches Five | The Growth Trade Pays Again
- Fed Hike Pricing Diverges Across Event Contracts and Futures
- Kalshi Seeks 60 Stock and ETF Perpetual Futures Contracts
- Polymarket Volume Slumps While Kalshi Holds Steady
- Prediction Markets Look to NFL and Midterms for Fall Growth
- December Funding Deadline Highlights a Gap in Prediction Markets
- AI Hits Its Own Brake | Oil Reopens Above $103 | The Ten-Year Tests Five | The Week the Growth Trade Pays Up
- The Week the Documents Do the Deciding
- The Week the Fed Stopped Being a Coin Flip
- CPI Fails the Last Gate | Stocks Rally Anyway | Oil Holds Above $100 | The Hike the Tape Looked Past
- CPI Gets the Last Gate | Diesel Breaks $6 | The Ten-Year Holds Near Five | The Print Oil Already Crowded
- Traders Now Put Better Than Even Odds on the Supreme Court Taking the Kalshi Case
- PPI Fails Waller’s Test | WTI Clears $102 | The Ten-Year Nears Five | The Print Oil Tightened
- The CFTC Just Called a Federal Appeals Court's Ruling Erroneous, in Public
- Traders Are Now Pricing Better Odds of a Rate Hike Than a Cut
- Kalshi Wants to Sell You Gold and Silver Futures That Never Expire
- PPI Tests Waller’s Hold | Brent Holds Above $101 | The Ten-Year Nears Five | The Print Oil Already Tightened
- Credit Runs Longer | Brent Clears $101 | Cards Slow Before CPI | The Household Line That Cannot Reset
- Consumer Credit Accelerates to 4.2% | Card Growth Slows to 2.5% | Small Business Optimism Dips | The Four Fifths That Run for Years
- Prediction Markets Price ECB Quarter-Point Hike Near Certainty
- Kalshi Seeks Approval for Perpetual WTI Crude Contract
- CLARITY Act Passage Odds Fall to 24% on Prediction Markets
- Federal Appeals Courts Split Over Prediction-Market Regulation