Foretell Markets
Foretell Markets covers prediction markets and the signals they provide across politics, finance, technology, and major global events. Its reporting examines changes in market probabilities, pricing, and participation to track how expectations evolve as new information enters the market.
Latest articles
- The Inflation Gauge Gets Rebuilt Wednesday
- Relief Priced in Minutes. The Record Took the Week.
- Oil Gave the Bounce | The Long End Didn't Follow | The Pump Kept Climbing | Polymarket Sued Back
- Senate Banking Democrats Want a Public Hearing on Prediction Markets. Republicans Held a Private Roundtable With Kalshi's CEO.
- Traders Give a U.S. End to the Iran Blockade a 69% Chance by Year-End. The Contract Requires an Official Announcement, Not a Deal.
- Polymarket Sued New York Hours After New York Sued Polymarket
- Two Prediction Markets Paid Out on the Same $85,000 Bitcoin Strike, Days Apart and for Different Reasons
- October Hike Odds Slipped About 4 Points on Both Kalshi and Polymarket. No Data Release Lines Up With Either Drop.
- Futures Try to Stabilize | Hormuz Still Needs Traffic | The Ten-Year Holds Five | Venue Risk Enters the Tape
- Traders Trim Bets on a Late-September Bitcoin Rally
- Senate Control Odds Hold Firm at About Two-to-One for Democrats
- The Supreme Court Calendar Makes an Early Answer on Sports Event Contracts Unlikely
- New York Sues Polymarket, Calling the Platform an Unlicensed Gambling Operation
- The Long End Kept Climbing | Oil Priced Both Ways | Diesel Odds Faded | New York Sued Polymarket
- Kalshi's Ether Market Traded $539 Million in a Day Against $3.1 Million in Open Positions
- Prediction Markets Traded $53 Billion in July, 26 Times the Year Before. Sports Did Most of the Work.
- Two Prediction Markets, One Answer: Democrats Favored to Take the Senate
- New York Has Now Sued Four Prediction Markets Since April. Polymarket Is the Latest.
- The CFTC Didn't Ban "Mention" Bets. It Made Exchanges Prove Each One Can't Be Rigged.
- Polymarket's Fed Contract Jumps 11 Points Overnight and Closes Half Its Gap With Futures
- The Ten-Year Takes Over | Oil Reprices the Floor | October Tightens | Relief Needs Lower Yields
- The Ten-Year Hit a 2007 High | Oil Snapped Back | Pipeline Odds Faded | The Relief Trade Broke
- The CFTC's Chairman Promises "Zero Tolerance" for Wash Trading as Kalshi Defends Its Volume
- Fed Futures Repriced an October Hike Within Hours. Polymarket Didn't Move.
- Prediction Markets Keep Inching Toward a Democratic Senate
- Two Very Different Markets Agree an October Fed Hike Is a Coin Flip
- The CFTC Warns on "Mention" Markets the Same Day Kalshi Asks to Offer Margin
- Oil Holds the Break | Hormuz Still Needs Proof | The Ten-Year Stalls | The Fed Keeps the Floor
- Oil Held the Break | Nasdaq Kept the Bid | Pipeline Odds Slipped | The Relief Still Needs Proof
- Hormuz Offers the Break | Pipeline Odds Reprice | The Ten-Year Slips | Relief Needs a Deal