Prediction Markets — Page 3
Page 3 of the Prediction Markets archive on FinancialMarkets.com.
Latest articles
- Houthis Say Saudi Arabia Struck Sanaa's Fuel Hub. The Bet That the U.S. Stays Out Rose to 85 Cents
- Bonds Rallied and Rate-Hike Bets Faded. Kalshi's October Hike Contract Went Up Anyway
- Most Americans Oppose Betting on Elections, With Republicans and Democrats Largely Agreed
- Houthis Say Saudi Arabia Struck Yemen, and the Bet on American Restraint Gets Stronger
- Brazil Runoff Markets Converge Near 87 Cents Ahead of Four Polls
- U.S.-Yemen Ceasefire Market Hinges on Direct American Strikes
- October Fed Hike Contract Climbs From 15 Cents in Thin Holiday Trading
- Event Markets Set a $22.2 Billion Weekly Record, and Washington Wants to Call Them Swaps
- Polymarket and Kalshi Now Disagree by Nearly 2 Cents on Brazil's Runoff, With No Poll to Explain It
- As Washington Weighs Joining the Saudi Fight, Traders Raised the Odds the U.S. Stays Out of Yemen
- The Seminole Tribe Sued DraftKings Over Its Prediction Markets. The Industry Is Spending on Both Sides of the State Fight.
- Traders Put About a 28% Chance on a U.S. Strike on Iran Before Nov. 3, Despite the President's Pledge. The Market Is Small.
- A Third Runoff Poll Puts Flávio Bolsonaro Ahead, This Time by 5.6 Points. Contracts Moved About a Cent.
- Prediction Markets Put More Than $30 Million on the Nobel Peace Prize. The Winner Wasn't Among Their Favorites.
- Brazil's Runoff Polls Show a Four-to-Six-Point Race. Event Contracts Price Flávio Bolsonaro as an 87% Favorite.
- Thirty-Nine States and the NFL Want the Supreme Court to Take Kalshi's Case. Kalshi's Reply Is Due Nov 9, 2026.
- The First Runoff Poll Put Flávio Bolsonaro Ahead 53-47. Brazil Contracts Waited Six Hours to Move.
- Kalshi Gains Tribal App Partners Amid Sports-Contract Opposition
- Oil Surges While Polymarket’s Blockade Odds Hold at 19.5%
- Kalshi Filed for an Oil Contract That Never Expires. Polymarket's Chief Said There Is No Token, but an "Onchain Asset" Is Under Study.
- Fed Minutes Pointed to a Hike by Year-End. Kalshi's October Contract Held at 17 Cents on Heavy Volume.
- Brazil's Center-Right Lined Up Behind Flávio Bolsonaro. His Prediction-Market Odds Edged Lower.
- Kalshi Adds Election Accuracy Scores and a Stock-Index Perpetual
- Kalshi’s October Fed Hike Odds Fall Below Futures Pricing