Prediction Markets — Page 2
Page 2 of the Prediction Markets archive on FinancialMarkets.com.
Latest articles
- A Contract That Pays Only on a U.S. Announcement Nearly Doubled Before 9 a.m. Oil Edged Lower Over the Same Hours
- Egypt Put Off Its Vote on Defending Saudi Arabia. The U.S.-Houthi Ceasefire Contract Dipped, Then Recovered
- Two Prediction-Market Venues Sued Missouri. Kalshi and Polymarket Did Not
- Brazil's Debate Ended Without a Winner. Its Two Prediction Markets Moved in Opposite Directions
- Underdog Is Suing Tennessee, Its Seventh State, Over an Argument an Appeals Court Rejected in September
- Two Kalshi Trades Committed About $88,000 Against an October Fed Hike. The Price Ended Where It Began
- Two More Polls Put Brazil's Runoff at a Dead Heat. Traders Still Price Flávio Bolsonaro Near 77 Cents
- Twelve Ship Attacks in a Week, and Traders Give a U.S. Announcement Ending Its Iran Blockade This Month About 1-in-22 Odds
- Datafolha Narrowed Brazil's Runoff to 51-49. Flávio Bolsonaro's Polymarket Price Went Up
- The Biggest Producer-Price Jump Since 2022 Moved Kalshi's October Contract for Minutes. After Warsh Declined to Commit, It Halved by Dawn
- A Taiwan Court Ordered Access to Kalshi and Coinbase Restricted Under the Island's Election Law
- Three Brazilian Polls in a Day Put the Runoff Within the Margin. Polymarket Now Gives Flávio Bolsonaro About 3-to-1 Odds
- Kalshi's October-Hike Contract Jumped to 37 Cents Two Minutes After the PPI Report. Twenty Minutes Later It Was Back Below 30
- Wall Street Gets Its Own Event Contracts, Settled on the Numbers Companies Report
- A New Poll Calls Brazil's Runoff a Tie. The Betting Market Still Has Flávio Bolsonaro as a Heavy Favorite
- Polymarket's Iran Blockade Contract Lost 40% of Its Value Overnight. Time Decay Does Not Explain It
- The October Hike Bet Has Given Back 86% of Wednesday's Jump. Most of the Retreat Came in Daylight
- Midterm Betting Has Passed $220 Million. On Polymarket, 1% of Wallets Account for 70% of Congressional Volume
- A Container Ship Sank Near Hormuz. Polymarket's Blockade Contract Stayed at 12.5 Cents Through the Afternoon
- Kalshi's October Hike Contract Jumped From 18 Cents to 55 Within 40 Minutes. Sellers Then Took Back More Than Half
- The CFTC Says an Appeals Court Misread the Law. Kalshi Wants That Court to Hear Its Case Again
- Google Opened Gemini 4 Argon to Paying Users on Oct. 13. Polymarket's Release Ladder Moved to the Top
- Trump Points Past the Midterms on the Houthis. Polymarket's No-U.S.-Strike Line Edges Up
- A New Brazil Poll Shows a Statistical Tie. Prediction Markets Still Price Flávio Bolsonaro Near 87%