Prediction Markets — Page 6
Page 6 of the Prediction Markets archive on FinancialMarkets.com.
Latest articles
- Kalshi, Polymarket and CME Converge: The Market Has Moved the Next Fed Hike to December
- Markets Stopped Selling and Started Choosing | Oil Took the Premium Back | An AI Campus Hit a Power Delay | October Moved to December
- Polymarket Gave Anthropic a 60% Chance of Listing by Nov. 30. The Company Is Now Targeting a Mid-November Launch.
- Kalshi's October Rate-Hike Contract Fell From 38 Cents to 23 Cents in One Session. It Ended the Afternoon at 27.
- CFTC Event-Contract Rules Enter White House Review
- Fed Hike Bets Ease as Long-Term Yields Climb
- Kalshi Nears $40B Round Ahead of Possible IPO
- Yields Hit 2002 Levels | Fuel Risk Returns | October Moves to Hold | AI Keeps the Bid
- Inflation Eased on Revision | The 10-Year Hit a 2002 High | Hormuz Split the Barrel | Platform Scrutiny Deepened
- Kalshi Is Ending Its Volume Rebates Almost a Year Early. September Is Already Its Biggest Month on Record.
- Two CFTC Rules on What Counts as a Swap Are Under White House Review. One Would Exclude Casino-Style Products.
- Kalshi Traders Put a 39% Chance on an October Rate Increase After the Inflation Data. Futures Priced About 35%.
- Futures Bounce | The Ten-Year Still Holds Five | PCE Takes the Wheel | Polymarket Courts Wall Street
- Kansas Senate Poll and Prediction Markets Point in Different Directions
- Prediction Markets Cut Odds of a 6% Treasury Yield After Williams Remarks
- Kalshi Supreme Court Response Deadline Moves Past the Midterms
- Polymarket Seeks Federal Injunction Against New York Sports-Contract Case
- Kalshi Funding Talks Target $40 Billion Valuation Amid Legal Challenges
- Two Fed Officials Differed on Urgency. Kalshi Traders Cut the Chance of an October Hike to 64% From 68%.
- Kalshi Has Lost Four Appellate Rulings in Four Weeks. The Latest Rests on Federal Indian Gaming Law, Not State Statutes.
- Oil Broke $90 | The Long End Kept Climbing | October Stayed a Hike | Oversight Moved Wider
- Futures Pause | The Ten-Year Tests 5.3 | Blockade Odds Stretch | Gas Keeps the Fed Open
- Traders Price a 68% Chance of an October Fed Hike as Kansas Senate Odds Hold
- Genius Sports Builds a Front Door to Prediction Markets