Prediction Markets — Page 4
Page 4 of the Prediction Markets archive on FinancialMarkets.com.
Latest articles
- October Fed Hike Contract Climbs From 15 Cents in Thin Holiday Trading
- Diesel Stayed Down After a Post | The Bull Turns Four at 5.24% | Amazon's $7 Billion Talks | Event Markets Set a Record
- Event Markets Set a $22.2 Billion Weekly Record, and Washington Wants to Call Them Swaps
- Polymarket and Kalshi Now Disagree by Nearly 2 Cents on Brazil's Runoff, With No Poll to Explain It
- As Washington Weighs Joining the Saudi Fight, Traders Raised the Odds the U.S. Stays Out of Yemen
- A Decimal, a Deadline and the Fed's Last Words
- Loud Headlines, Quiet Contracts. The Rule Book Settled the Week.
- Carriers Paid for a Network Not Yet Built | The Two-Year Moved Before CPI | AI Debt Asks 11%
- The Seminole Tribe Sued DraftKings Over Its Prediction Markets. The Industry Is Spending on Both Sides of the State Fight.
- Traders Put About a 28% Chance on a U.S. Strike on Iran Before Nov. 3, Despite the President's Pledge. The Market Is Small.
- A Third Runoff Poll Puts Flávio Bolsonaro Ahead, This Time by 5.6 Points. Contracts Moved About a Cent.
- OpenAI Gave Two Numbers | Musalem Set a Window | Fuel Hit Delta | The Nobel Board Missed
- Prediction Markets Put More Than $30 Million on the Nobel Peace Prize. The Winner Wasn't Among Their Favorites.
- Brazil's Runoff Polls Show a Four-to-Six-Point Race. Event Contracts Price Flávio Bolsonaro as an 87% Favorite.
- The Long Bond Cleared at 5.62% | Oil Kept Most of Its Jump | Chips Fell After an OpenAI Report | Brazil Contracts Waited
- Thirty-Nine States and the NFL Want the Supreme Court to Take Kalshi's Case. Kalshi's Reply Is Due Nov 9, 2026.
- The First Runoff Poll Put Flávio Bolsonaro Ahead 53-47. Brazil Contracts Waited Six Hours to Move.
- Oil Took Back the Calm | Waller Kept Hikes in View | PepsiCo Cut Its Profit Path | The 30-Year Faces Its Test
- Kalshi Gains Tribal App Partners Amid Sports-Contract Opposition
- Oil Surges While Polymarket’s Blockade Odds Hold at 19.5%
- Buyers Showed Up at 5.3% | The Minutes Pointed to Year-End | Small Caps Took the Bill | Hormuz Odds Slipped
- Kalshi Filed for an Oil Contract That Never Expires. Polymarket's Chief Said There Is No Token, but an "Onchain Asset" Is Under Study.
- Fed Minutes Pointed to a Hike by Year-End. Kalshi's October Contract Held at 17 Cents on Heavy Volume.
- Brazil's Center-Right Lined Up Behind Flávio Bolsonaro. His Prediction-Market Odds Edged Lower.