Prediction Markets — Page 2
Page 2 of the Prediction Markets archive on FinancialMarkets.com.
Latest articles
- Flávio Bolsonaro's Runoff Odds Halved in a Week, Then Stopped Moving. Brazil's Currency Hedgers Are Paying the Most Since 2011
- Iran Blockade Bets Now Put Most of Their Weight on November and December. The October Contract Is Back Under 10 Cents
- Chips Rebounded, CoreWeave Did Not | Patient Money Bought Railcars | Yields Rose Anyway | A Thin Bet Nearly Doubled
- The CFTC Is Defending Kalshi's Live Bitcoin Perpetual Against CME. Ohio Is Getting Ready to Sue
- Egypt's Vote on Defending Saudi Arabia Has Slipped to Oct. 26. The U.S.-Houthi Ceasefire Contract Rose Anyway
- Two Brazil Polls Show a Tie and Two Show Flávio Clear of the Margin. Polymarket Slid Anyway, While Kalshi Held
- A Contract That Pays Only on a U.S. Announcement Nearly Doubled Before 9 a.m. Oil Edged Lower Over the Same Hours
- AI Sites Waited on Power | A Full Price for Steady Cash | Oil Shrugged Off Threats | Brazil's Venues Split
- Egypt Put Off Its Vote on Defending Saudi Arabia. The U.S.-Houthi Ceasefire Contract Dipped, Then Recovered
- Two Prediction-Market Venues Sued Missouri. Kalshi and Polymarket Did Not
- Brazil's Debate Ended Without a Winner. Its Two Prediction Markets Moved in Opposite Directions
- A Silent Fed, a Rolling Barrel and Brazil's Vote
- Hot Data, Lower Odds. The Fed Bet Moved on Words, Not Numbers.
- The AI Selloff Resumed | Banks Built for High Rates | Index Rules Moved Money | Big Bets Against a Hike
- Underdog Is Suing Tennessee, Its Seventh State, Over an Argument an Appeals Court Rejected in September
- Two Kalshi Trades Committed About $88,000 Against an October Fed Hike. The Price Ended Where It Began
- Two More Polls Put Brazil's Runoff at a Dead Heat. Traders Still Price Flávio Bolsonaro Near 77 Cents
- The Fed Chair Said Nothing | Lenders Charged More for AI | Hormuz Flows Fell a Third | A Hike Bet Halved
- Twelve Ship Attacks in a Week, and Traders Give a U.S. Announcement Ending Its Iran Blockade This Month About 1-in-22 Odds
- Datafolha Narrowed Brazil's Runoff to 51-49. Flávio Bolsonaro's Polymarket Price Went Up
- The Biggest Producer-Price Jump Since 2022 Moved Kalshi's October Contract for Minutes. After Warsh Declined to Commit, It Halved by Dawn
- Producer Prices Jumped | Bonds Rallied Anyway | AI Selling Moved to Hardware | A Hike Bet Spiked and Faded
- A Taiwan Court Ordered Access to Kalshi and Coinbase Restricted Under the Island's Election Law
- Three Brazilian Polls in a Day Put the Runoff Within the Margin. Polymarket Now Gives Flávio Bolsonaro About 3-to-1 Odds