Prediction Markets — Page 6
Page 6 of the Prediction Markets archive on FinancialMarkets.com.
Latest articles
- Senate Control Odds Hold Firm at About Two-to-One for Democrats
- The Supreme Court Calendar Makes an Early Answer on Sports Event Contracts Unlikely
- New York Sues Polymarket, Calling the Platform an Unlicensed Gambling Operation
- Kalshi's Ether Market Traded $539 Million in a Day Against $3.1 Million in Open Positions
- Prediction Markets Traded $53 Billion in July, 26 Times the Year Before. Sports Did Most of the Work.
- Two Prediction Markets, One Answer: Democrats Favored to Take the Senate
- New York Has Now Sued Four Prediction Markets Since April. Polymarket Is the Latest.
- The CFTC Didn't Ban "Mention" Bets. It Made Exchanges Prove Each One Can't Be Rigged.
- Polymarket's Fed Contract Jumps 11 Points Overnight and Closes Half Its Gap With Futures
- The CFTC's Chairman Promises "Zero Tolerance" for Wash Trading as Kalshi Defends Its Volume
- Fed Futures Repriced an October Hike Within Hours. Polymarket Didn't Move.
- Prediction Markets Keep Inching Toward a Democratic Senate
- Two Very Different Markets Agree an October Fed Hike Is a Coin Flip
- The CFTC Warns on "Mention" Markets the Same Day Kalshi Asks to Offer Margin
- CFTC Filings Put Stock Perpetual Futures on an Approval Track
- Betting Markets Called the Fed's September Hike Almost Exactly Right. They're Split on What Happens Next.
- A Circuit Split and Two Supreme Court Petitions Are Now on File in the Fight Over Prediction Markets
- A Robinhood Contract on the ECB's September Decision Still Showed as Live Six Days After the Decision
- The Federal Funding Deadline Is September 30, Not December, and Markets Are Pricing Almost No Chance of a Shutdown
- Prediction Market Odds on Crypto Legislation Roughly Halved in a Day, and Traders Pushed the Timeline Out Rather Than Abandoning It
- Michigan Hit Kalshi With a Court Injunction and a $500,000-a-Day Penalty, Then Settled With Robinhood for No Money at All
- Prediction Markets Put the Fed Hike at 86 Cents Hours Before the Decision
- Kalshi Lost in Three Federal Courts in Two Days, and Two Cert Petitions Are Now Before the Supreme Court
- A Court Ruling Could Reshape How Prediction Markets Are Regulated