Prediction Markets — Page 3
Page 3 of the Prediction Markets archive on FinancialMarkets.com.
Latest articles
- Kalshi's October-Hike Contract Jumped to 37 Cents Two Minutes After the PPI Report. Twenty Minutes Later It Was Back Below 30
- AI's Lenders Flinch | TSMC Plans Carefully for 2027 | Bonds Rallied After a Hot Print | A Blockade Bet Slid
- Wall Street Gets Its Own Event Contracts, Settled on the Numbers Companies Report
- A New Poll Calls Brazil's Runoff a Tie. The Betting Market Still Has Flávio Bolsonaro as a Heavy Favorite
- Polymarket's Iran Blockade Contract Lost 40% of Its Value Overnight. Time Decay Does Not Explain It
- The October Hike Bet Has Given Back 86% of Wednesday's Jump. Most of the Retreat Came in Daylight
- Core Ran Hot Again | Borrowers Took the Hit | Oil Producers Set Records | A Fed Contract Hit 55 Cents
- Midterm Betting Has Passed $220 Million. On Polymarket, 1% of Wallets Account for 70% of Congressional Volume
- A Container Ship Sank Near Hormuz. Polymarket's Blockade Contract Stayed at 12.5 Cents Through the Afternoon
- Kalshi's October Hike Contract Jumped From 18 Cents to 55 Within 40 Minutes. Sellers Then Took Back More Than Half
- ASML Can't Build Enough | Diesel Stays Short Into 2027 | One More Hike, Then Maybe a Stop | A Yemen Bet Firmed
- The CFTC Says an Appeals Court Misread the Law. Kalshi Wants That Court to Hear Its Case Again
- Google Opened Gemini 4 Argon to Paying Users on Oct. 13. Polymarket's Release Ladder Moved to the Top
- Trump Points Past the Midterms on the Houthis. Polymarket's No-U.S.-Strike Line Edges Up
- Strong Quarters, Weaker Shares | Diesel Took Back Its Drop | Waller Blamed Growth | A Fed Contract Faded
- A New Brazil Poll Shows a Statistical Tie. Prediction Markets Still Price Flávio Bolsonaro Near 87%
- Houthis Say Saudi Arabia Struck Sanaa's Fuel Hub. The Bet That the U.S. Stays Out Rose to 85 Cents
- Bonds Rallied and Rate-Hike Bets Faded. Kalshi's October Hike Contract Went Up Anyway
- Broadcom's CEO Flagged Capital | Seoul Tripped a Curb | Bonds Rallied Before the Test | A Forecast on Cheaper Oil
- Most Americans Oppose Betting on Elections, With Republicans and Democrats Largely Agreed
- Houthis Say Saudi Arabia Struck Yemen, and the Bet on American Restraint Gets Stronger
- A Diesel Pledge Worth Nine Days | Sold Out, Then Sold Off | The Fed Fight Gets a Date
- Brazil Runoff Markets Converge Near 87 Cents Ahead of Four Polls
- U.S.-Yemen Ceasefire Market Hinges on Direct American Strikes