Prediction Markets — Page 5
Page 5 of the Prediction Markets archive on FinancialMarkets.com.
Latest articles
- Prediction Markets Cut Odds of a 6% Treasury Yield After Williams Remarks
- Kalshi Supreme Court Response Deadline Moves Past the Midterms
- Polymarket Seeks Federal Injunction Against New York Sports-Contract Case
- Kalshi Funding Talks Target $40 Billion Valuation Amid Legal Challenges
- Two Fed Officials Differed on Urgency. Kalshi Traders Cut the Chance of an October Hike to 64% From 68%.
- Kalshi Has Lost Four Appellate Rulings in Four Weeks. The Latest Rests on Federal Indian Gaming Law, Not State Statutes.
- Traders Price a 68% Chance of an October Fed Hike as Kansas Senate Odds Hold
- Genius Sports Builds a Front Door to Prediction Markets
- Kalshi Loses in the Sixth Circuit, Deepening a Split Headed for the Supreme Court
- Traders Cut the Chance of a U.S. End to the Iran Blockade by Wednesday to About 4%. Trump Still Expects Talks This Week.
- The 10-Year Yield Jumped 8 Basis Points. The Odds of an October Fed Hike Barely Moved.
- Offshore Traders Have Wagered $220 Million on Stock-Price Prediction Contracts. U.S. Regulators Have Not Said Whose Job It Is to Watch Them.
- Kalshi Captured About Three-Quarters of NFL Opening-Week Prediction Volume, Needham Says
- Kansas Senate Odds Drift Toward Marshall Even as a Fresh Survey Puts Hamilton Ahead
- Prediction Markets Now Price a Back-to-Back Fed Hike as October's Likely Outcome
- Prediction Traders All but Write Off a September End to the Iran Blockade
- Printed Ballots Settle Missouri's 5th District Lines, and Traders Price Out the GOP
- Appeals Court Lets Ohio and Tennessee Police Kalshi's Sports Contracts, Tilting the Circuit Count 2-1 for States
- Senate Banking Democrats Want a Public Hearing on Prediction Markets. Republicans Held a Private Roundtable With Kalshi's CEO.
- Traders Give a U.S. End to the Iran Blockade a 69% Chance by Year-End. The Contract Requires an Official Announcement, Not a Deal.
- Polymarket Sued New York Hours After New York Sued Polymarket
- Two Prediction Markets Paid Out on the Same $85,000 Bitcoin Strike, Days Apart and for Different Reasons
- October Hike Odds Slipped About 4 Points on Both Kalshi and Polymarket. No Data Release Lines Up With Either Drop.
- Traders Trim Bets on a Late-September Bitcoin Rally