Equity Markets

CCC Agreed to a 44% Premium. Its Stock Closed Higher Than the Deal Price on Tuesday

GTCR and Elliott will pay $7.75 a share in cash for the insurance-software company, an enterprise value of about $6.1 billion. The premium is measured from July; most of it was already in the stock after reports of talks last week, and the …

CCC Agreed to a 44% Premium. Its Stock Closed Higher Than the Deal Price on Tuesday
CCC Agreed to a 44% Premium. Its Stock Closed Higher Than the Deal Price on Tuesday

GTCR and Elliott will pay $7.75 a share in cash for the insurance-software company, an enterprise value of about $6.1 billion. The premium is measured from July; most of it was already in the stock after reports of talks last week, and the CEO will keep an interest in the business through the buyer.

CCC Intelligent Solutions announced a cash buyout at a 44% premium on Thursday. Its stock barely moved.

The insurance-software company said it agreed to be acquired by a consortium led by private equity firm GTCR and including Elliott Investment Management for $7.75 per share in cash, an enterprise value of about $6.1 billion. Directors signed off; shareholders and regulators still have to, with a first-quarter 2027 closing targeted.

CCC shares were near $7.62 in early afternoon, down about 0.2% on the day.

Which premium

The company measured the 44% premium against its closing price on July 9, $5.38, the last trading day before media reports of a possible deal, and put the premium at 59% to the 30-day average to that date.

Recent trading tells a different story. CCC closed at $6.57 on Oct. 8. After reports on Oct. 9 that GTCR and Elliott were in advanced talks, the stock climbed to $7.82 by Oct. 13, a rise of 19% in three sessions and a close above the eventual deal price. It closed Wednesday at $7.64. The offer is about 1.4% above that, and about 18% below the stock's 52-week high of $9.44.

In other words, the market had paid most of the premium before the companies announced it.

Who sits on which side

Two executives are committed to the buyer. Githesh Ramamurthy, CCC's chairman and chief executive, and Tim Welsh, its president, have each agreed to back the deal with their votes and to exchange some of their CCC stock for equity in the buyer's parent. The size of their rollover has not been disclosed. The merger filing describes board approval "with respect to all directors present"; neither it nor the announcement describes a special committee. The proxy will set out the negotiation history.

"Today's announcement follows a thorough review of strategic options," Ramamurthy said. CCC hired Morgan Stanley this year to explore a sale and approached both private equity firms and corporate buyers, according to earlier reports.

Elliott, which is joining GTCR as a buyer rather than as an activist shareholder, described CCC as "a highly durable franchise in vertical software," one it said AI will only make more valuable.

Deal protection

The buyers' walk-away fee is $314 million, more than twice the $149.5 million CCC would owe if it accepted a better offer. On an equity value of roughly $4.56 billion at $7.75 a share, by this publication's calculation, that is about 6.9% for the buyers and 3.3% for the company. The financing includes equity, preferred equity and debt commitments, with J.P. Morgan as lead arranger and Citi participating, and the deal has no financing condition. The agreement allows CCC's board to accept a superior proposal.

Market implications

One reading is that shareholders got a solid outcome from a long process. The price is well above where the stock traded from mid-August to early October, between $6.33 and $7.60, the financing is committed, and the buyers face a large fee if they fail to close.

A second reading is that the price arrives near the bottom of a de-rated software market and below where CCC traded a year ago. Management is aligned with the buyer through the rollover, the stock had already reached the offer on a leak, and the buyers' own thesis is that the business is worth more under private ownership.

What to watch

The preliminary proxy, which should name the bidders that participated, the advisers' valuation ranges and management's rollover terms. CCC reports third-quarter results Oct. 29 without a call. A close above $7.75 would signal that some investors expect a higher bid.

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