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Broadcom's Earnings Tonight Are the AI Trade's Next Test, and Analysts Can't Agree on the Answer

Broadcom reports after Wednesday's close following a 24% one-month rally, with Wall Street split between a $400 price target and a $455 one. Broadcom reports fiscal third-quarter results after Wednesday's close, with a call scheduled for 5 …

Broadcom's Earnings Tonight Are the AI Trade's Next Test, and Analysts Can't Agree on the Answer
Broadcom's Earnings Tonight Are the AI Trade's Next Test, and Analysts Can't Agree on the Answer

Broadcom reports after Wednesday's close following a 24% one-month rally, with Wall Street split between a $400 price target and a $455 one.

Broadcom reports fiscal third-quarter results after Wednesday's close, with a call scheduled for 5 p.m. ET. Estimates ahead of the report call for revenue of $29.36 billion, up from $15.95 billion a year earlier, and earnings of $3.24 a share, up from $1.69. AI semiconductor revenue is expected to reach roughly $16 billion for the quarter, close to triple the year-ago figure, building on a second-quarter AI print of $10.8 billion that itself beat expectations.

The report follows directly behind Nvidia's own recent quarter, which reinforced rather than undercut the AI-capex trade. That sets a specific bar for Broadcom: growth alone won't be enough if it doesn't justify a stock that has already rallied nearly 24% over the past month while still sitting roughly 25% below its June high.

Sell-side analysts have not converged on an answer. RBC Capital rates the stock Sector Perform with a $400 price target. BMO Capital rates it Outperform at $455. Erste Group downgraded the stock to Hold from Buy. That spread, rather than a consensus lean, is itself notable heading into a report this consequential.

What the quarter will decide is whether Broadcom's AI backlog and its guidance for the year ahead can support the multiple the stock now carries after a month-long rally, or whether the bar has moved further than the numbers can clear. That answer arrives after Wednesday's close.

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